How do you decide your next research project?
It safest to look back at previous work, conduct a logical extension of a published study or permutate common parameters. Looking backward leads to step-by-step movement. There is a small chance of complete failure but an equally small chance at innovation.
It more risky to look ahead and choose a research project based its potential to make a contribution. Looking forward leads to moving in leaps and bounds. This is an increased chance of failure, but also the opportunity for massive inovation.
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